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| fixed length control field |
02445nam a2200157Ia 4500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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140814s9999 xx 000 0 und d |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
302 TAL |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
The Black swan : |
| Remainder of title |
the impact of the highly improbable / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb. |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
New York : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
Random House Trade Paperbacks, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
c2010 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
xxxiii, 444 p. : |
| Other physical details |
ill. ; |
| Dimensions |
21 cm. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
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| General note |
"Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007."-T.p. verso.<br/> <br/> Includes bibliographical references (p. [400]-429) and index.<br/> |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Formatted contents note |
Summary: Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.<br/><br/>Contents: Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.<br/><br/> |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects. |
| -- |
Forecasting. |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Koha item type |
Books |
